Friday, May 21, 2010

Germany to Euro Shorts: “If you want to drain a swamp, you don’t ask the frogs for an objective assessment.” TNR.v, CZX.v, GBN.v, ASM.v, GRC.to,






Nothing is for certain, but our reversal in USD is well under way. With US Debt close to 13 Trillion all Euro situation is just an aberration in the History of US Dollar Collapse. US budget deficit is projected for years ahead to stay above 1 Trillion dollars with Gross Federal Debt well over 70% of GDP assuming it at 14 trillion, can you even imaging in U.S. German rules:


"Mr Schäuble also wants the other 15 members of the common currency to adopt a similar national law to the German debt guillotine, a law enshrined in the German constitution committing the government to a balanced budget, with a maximum structural budget deficit of just 0.35 per cent of GDP by 2016."




On a weekly chart US Dollar is very close to finish this week with a very strong Bearish reversal candle.

Do not burn your Euros yet, US Dollar was appreciating on Europe worries, but the weaker Euro is exactly what Europe needs in Competition for Export to Emerging markets and China first of all.


After pictures from Greece we do not think that anybody will go there in U.S. Corp. Deflation will be prevented by any means, it is easy and price to pay is not so obvious. Newly printed US Dollars are "free", but price to drop them is not: you need Oil to keep you helicopters flying and here will be our first conundrum: At what point price of Oil becomes prohibitive to use Helicopters by Ben Bernanke in his open market operations?
Here is time to move to practical implications of the new Inflation round to fight Deflation Scare this time created by sovereign default. How Lithium, Gold and price of Oil are connected and what it means to be grounded? We will start with Gold and will give you few observations:



FT:


By Quentin Peel in Berlin
Published: May 20 2010 12:52 Last updated: May 21 2010 11:37
Germany’s lower house of parliament on Friday approved Berlin’s contribution to a €750bn stabilisation package for the eurozone.
After fraught talks with parties in the Bundestag on Thursday, it became clear that Angela Merkel, chancellor, would win a majority in favour of German credit guarantees of up to €150bn ($187bn, £130bn) from her centre-right coalition but fail to win cross-party support from the opposition Social Democrats and Greens.
The Bundestag passed the bill with 319 votes in favour, 73 against and 195 abstentions. The Bundesrat upper house is expected to pass the bill later on Friday.
Ms Merkel’s promises of tougher rules for the eurozone and action to curb speculation in the financial markets have been part of the price to win parliamentary support for the loan guarantees. A move to ban naked short-selling of eurozone debt was also seen in Berlin as a clear political gesture to win the parliamentary majority
On Thursday Ms Merkel stepped up pressure for a global agreement on tighter financial regulation, a banking tax or levy and a financial transaction tax, while spelling out the rules it wants members of the eurozone to adopt to curb their public debts and deficit spending.
George Osborne, UK chancellor, was separately expected to tell EU finance ministers in Brussels on Friday that Britain would resist attempts to improve economic governance that require a change to the European Union treaty.
The new UK government is committed to a referendum on any treaty that transfers new powers to Brussels. Mr Osborne has said he will oppose suggestions that he should show his Budget to the European Commission before presenting it to parliament.
Thomas De Maizière, Germany’s interior minister, said Berlin would increasingly seek to defend its own interest in the EU while shedding its role as passive paymaster. “Germany is going to act just as other European countries do in Brussels and this will not make it automatically anti-European,” he said.
Wolfgang Schäuble, finance minister, published a nine-point programme of proposals for more rigorous policing of the budgetary policies of eurozone members, including a proposal to draw up a procedure for “orderly state insolvencies” for countries that cannot service their debts.
Other points in his plan, to be presented on Friday at the first meeting of a task force in Brussels charged with rewriting the rules of the common currency area, include stripping countries of their votes if they persistently break stability and growth pact limits on deficit spending, and cutting them off from regional investment funds.
Mr Schäuble also wants the other 15 members of the common currency to adopt a similar national law to the German debt guillotine, a law enshrined in the German constitution committing the government to a balanced budget, with a maximum structural budget deficit of just 0.35 per cent of GDP by 2016.
Ms Merkel and Mr Schäuble are adamant that more action must be taken at the level of both the EU and the Group of 20 economies to regulate financial markets, in addition to adopting much more rigorous budget controls within the EU.
Ms Merkel called on financial institutions to give “honest advice” about how their activities should be regulated, warning they would face political measures to regulate the markets whatever happened.
Mr Schäuble appeared more sceptical. Challenged to defend Germany’s ban on naked short selling in light of the hostile reaction in the markets, the minister said: “If you want to drain a swamp, you don’t ask the frogs for an objective assessment.”
Additional reporting by Joshua Chaffin in Berlin and George Parker in London

Toyota Motor Corp. is buying a $50 million stake in electric-car maker Tesla Motors Inc. TNR.v, CZX.v, RM.v, LMR.v, WLC.v, CLQ.v, SQM, FMC, ROC, TTM,


It is a very significant development not only for Tesla, but for Toyota and EV mass market evolution. Tesla has gained more credibility with this move and it is all about Tesla S model mass production. Roadster was making headlines, but not sales numbers. Tesla S promised to be a 5 seater with more than 200 miles range and price tag of 50000USD. It will not be able to compete with Nissan Leaf at USD25000 after federal tax rebate, but it is the move into right direction. Now apart from Mercedes, Tesla can count on Toyota's expertise in safety, mass production and cost control. Toyota way into EV space is not straight forward, it is the case when actions are more significant than words and sometimes words could be misleading. Toyota announced last September that after years of research they do not see Lithium batteries as a commercial choice for Hybrids at the moment. Lithium juniors crashed with the news hitting the wires. After that surprisingly Toyota place on display a few advanced models of Hybrids and plug-ins with lithium batteries an Frankfurt Motor show 2009. Toyota engineers at the show were talking about clear advantage for use of Lithium batteries. Later 2009 Toyota trading house took a stake in upcoming Lithium developer Orocobre Resources with lithium brine salar in Argentina. Now they have quickly moved into Tesla buying the time and expertise on lithium battery side and controlling systems. It has happen just weeks after the usual bashing of EVs and that Hybrids are the only way in the future.
We were always wondering about Future of Energy and have collected some great memories on Uranium Run, Solar and Water plays. Gold Bull has years to run, but we are searching constantly for new Macro trends - it is very interesting to find out what will be the next Bull which will come out of these rubbles in case we are right and Inflation will be the answer to deflation war scenario. It is time for Lithium to come into picture.
Bloomberg:




May 21 (Bloomberg) -- Toyota Motor Corp., the world’s largest automaker, is buying a $50 million stake in the Californian electric-car maker Tesla Motors Inc. as automakers compete to offer low-polluting models in the U.S.
Tesla will also buy a closed Toyota joint-venture factory in California to build its Model S and other vehicles, Tesla Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk said yesterday. The companies said they’ll cooperate in developing electric cars, parts, production systems and engineering support.
The deal may help Toyota, the world’s biggest carmaker, compete with Nissan Motor Co. and General Motors Co. in selling electric cars in the U.S., where regulations on greenhouse gas emissions and fuel efficiency are pushing them to offer advanced vehicles. It may also help the Toyota City, Japan-based company’s image, battered by recalls, by reviving the New United Motor Manufacturing Inc. plant in Fremont, California, known as NUMMI.
“This seems like a good deal for both parties, especially Toyota, from being able to avoid the political fallout from shutting NUMMI down to being able to offer a new electric vehicle with just a low initial investment cost,” said Jeremy Anwyl, Chief Executive Officer at auto industry researcher Edmunds.com in Santa Monica, California.
Joining Daimler
The size of Toyota’s stake in Tesla hasn’t been fixed ahead of a share sale by Tesla, Musk said in an interview. Daimler AG in May 2009 invested about $50 million in Tesla, which is supplying battery packs to the Stuttgart, Germany-based company for a test fleet of electric Smart minicars.
In July, Daimler sold a portion of its share of Tesla to the German automaker’s largest investor, Aabar Investments PJSC, reducing its stake to about 5 percent.
Daimler “welcomed” Tesla’s partnership with Toyota, which “likewise has the goal of advancing electric vehicles,” said Brigitte Bertram, a Daimler spokeswoman for the automaker in Stuttgart, Germany. The Toyota-Tesla linkup “doesn’t impede” Daimler’s cooperation with the California automaker.
Toyota fell 1.9 percent to 3,355 yen in Tokyo, while Nissan dropped 3.4 percent and Honda Motor Co., Japan’s second-largest carmaker, declined 2.5 percent.
The tie-up brings Toyota, the world’s biggest seller of hybrid autos, together with Tesla, the only company now selling U.S. highway-legal battery-powered cars. Electric-car technology has been supported by U.S. policy makers including President Barack Obama as a way to reduce the nation’s oil use and dependence on foreign energy sources.
Obama set a goal of getting 1 million plug-in hybrids and electric cars on U.S. roads by 2015.
Nissan, GM
Nissan is preparing to introduce its Leaf electric hatchback, powered by a lithium-ion battery pack, in Japan and the U.S. this year. Nissan Chief Executive Officer Carlos Ghosn has set a goal of leading sales of rechargeable vehicles, which he estimates may make up 10 percent of global auto demand by 2020, and is spending more than 500 billion yen ($5.5 billion) developing electric cars.
GM plans to introduce its Volt plug-in car in October. The car will initially be marketed to drivers in California, which requires large automakers to offer some vehicles that emit little or no tailpipe pollution.
Toyota intends to offer a short-range, “urban commuter” electric car in the U.S. in 2012 and begin retail sales of a plug-in Prius hybrid the same year.
Toyota, which will continue to develop its own electric vehicle, said Tesla’s long-distance models give the Japanese automaker more options. Toyota said hybrids should remain a more practical option for most customers until electric cars become more popular.
Share Sale
Palo Alto, California-based Tesla has 2,000 reservations for the Model S sedan and intends to begin “volume” production of the car in 2012, with a projected annual output of as much as 20,000 a year. The company has delivered about 1,000 of its $109,000 Roadster electric sports cars, while losing more than $230 million.
Tesla hasn’t posted a profit in the six years since it was founded. The company plans to use proceeds from an initial share sale and a $465 million government loan to help produce the Model S, an electric car that is to cost less than $50,000 after a federal tax credit.
Fund Raising
Tesla aims to raise about $100 million from its share sale and has said it may use proceeds to pay for factories and equipment estimated to cost as much as $125 million this year, and for acquisitions.
“I’ve felt an infinite possibility about Tesla’s technology,” said Akio Toyoda, chief executive officer of Toyota, founded by his grandfather. “By partnering with Tesla, my hope is that all Toyota employees will recall that ‘venture business’ spirit.”
The company is backed by investors including Mountain View, California-based Google Inc.’s co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin, and the government of Abu Dhabi. Daimler, the world’s second-biggest maker of luxury vehicles, invested last May. Tesla said Musk told Daimler about the Toyota partnership on May 19.
The revival of NUMMI, for 25 years a joint venture between Toyota and the former General Motors Co., will create 1,000 jobs, California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger said. The plant closed in April.
To contact the reporter on this story: Alan Ohnsman in Los Angeles at aohnsman@bloomberg.net Last Updated: May 21, 2010 05:57 EDT"
 

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